Aaron Jones vs Jadarian Price
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jadarian Price by 0.6 projected points (10.4 vs 9.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jadarian Price faces LV, the 10th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Aaron Jones faces GB, the 20th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Aaron Jones ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Aaron Jones by 0.3 points of value over replacement (22.8 vs 22.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jadarian Price first (ADP 63.5 vs 101.6). If the model is right, Aaron Jones is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Aaron JonesMIN | Jadarian PriceSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | GB | LV | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 9.8 | 10.4 | Price +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #20 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 169.5 | 169.2 | Jones +0.3 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 10.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 22.8 | 22.5 | Jones +0.3 |
| Overall rank | #48 | #49 | Jones by 1 |
| Position rank | RB21 | RB22 | |
| Market ADP | 101.6 | 63.5 | Jones +38.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I start Aaron Jones or Jadarian Price in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jadarian Price by 0.6 projected points (10.4 vs 9.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Aaron Jones or Jadarian Price in 2026 fantasy football?
Aaron Jones. He projects 169.5 fantasy points with 22.8 value over replacement, vs 169.2 points and 22.5 for Jadarian Price (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.