Aaron Jones vs Breece Hall
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
Start Breece Hall this week: Aaron Jones is on bye in Week 6.
Breece Hall gets NE, the 18th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week, projecting 12.4 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Aaron Jones: a clear but modest edge of 9.5 points of value over replacement (66.3 vs 56.8).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Breece Hall first (ADP 30.5 vs 101.6). If the model is right, Aaron Jones is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Aaron Jones carries an injury flag of Questionable (Leg), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Breece Hall carries an injury flag of Doubtful (Quadriceps), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Aaron JonesMIN | Breece HallNYJ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | Bye | NE | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 0.0 | 12.4 | Hall +12.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | - | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 224.0 | 214.5 | Jones +9.5 pts |
| Points per game | 13.2 | 12.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 66.3 | 56.8 | Jones +9.5 |
| Overall rank | #22 | #25 | Jones by 3 |
| Position rank | RB16 | RB18 | |
| Market ADP | 101.6 | 30.5 | Jones +71.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Doubtful |
Should I start Aaron Jones or Breece Hall in Week 6?
Start Breece Hall this week: Aaron Jones is on bye in Week 6.
Should I draft Aaron Jones or Breece Hall in 2026 fantasy football?
Aaron Jones. He projects 224.0 fantasy points with 66.3 value over replacement, vs 214.5 points and 56.8 for Breece Hall (RB, PPR).