Head to head · RB · 2026
Aaron Jones vs Adam Randall
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Aaron Jones
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Aaron Jones by 4.4 points of value over replacement (-19.8 vs -24.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Aaron Jones | Adam Randall | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | MIN | BAL | |
| Overall rank | #99 | #103 | Jones by 4 |
| Position rank | RB40 | RB42 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 110.0 | 105.6 | Jones +4.4 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -19.8 | -24.1 | Jones +4.4 |
| Market ADP | 96.1 | N/A |
Should I draft Aaron Jones or Adam Randall in 2026 fantasy football?
Aaron Jones. He projects 110.0 fantasy points with -19.8 value over replacement, vs 105.6 points and -24.1 for Adam Randall (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.