Head to head · RB · 2026
Kenneth Gainwell vs Aaron Jones
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Kenneth Gainwell
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Kenneth Gainwell by 1.3 points of value over replacement (-20.9 vs -22.1) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Kenneth Gainwell | Aaron Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | TAM | MIN |
| Overall rank | #102 | #105 |
| Position rank | RB39 | RB40 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 111.2 | 110.0 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -20.9 | -22.1 |
| Market ADP | — | 92.2 |
Should I draft Kenneth Gainwell or Aaron Jones in 2026 fantasy football?
Kenneth Gainwell. He projects 111.2 fantasy points with -20.9 value over replacement, vs 110.0 points and -22.1 for Aaron Jones (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.