Kenneth Gainwell vs Aaron Jones
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB39
Kenneth Gainwell
111.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB40
Aaron Jones
110.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Kenneth Gainwell by 1.3 points of value over replacement (-18.5 vs -19.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Kenneth GainwellTAM | Aaron JonesMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 111.2 | 110.0 | Gainwell +1.3 pts |
| Points per game | 6.5 | 6.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -18.5 | -19.8 | Gainwell +1.3 |
| Overall rank | #100 | #103 | Gainwell by 3 |
| Position rank | RB39 | RB40 | |
| Market ADP | - | 101.8 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 |
Should I draft Kenneth Gainwell or Aaron Jones in 2026 fantasy football?
Kenneth Gainwell. He projects 111.2 fantasy points with -18.5 value over replacement, vs 110.0 points and -19.8 for Aaron Jones (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.