Keaton Mitchell vs Samaje Perine
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keaton Mitchell by 0.2 projected points (5.9 vs 5.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Keaton Mitchell faces BAL, the 19th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Samaje Perine faces PIT, the 4th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Keaton Mitchell: a clear but modest edge of 13.2 points of value over replacement (-45.3 vs -58.4).
The draft market agrees: Keaton Mitchell goes first at ADP 158.7 vs 168.0 for Samaje Perine.
| Keaton MitchellLAC | Samaje PerineCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | BAL | PIT | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 5.9 | 5.7 | Mitchell +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #19 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 101.4 | 88.3 | Mitchell +13.2 pts |
| Points per game | 6.0 | 5.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -45.3 | -58.4 | Mitchell +13.2 |
| Overall rank | #128 | #137 | Mitchell by 9 |
| Position rank | RB43 | RB46 | |
| Market ADP | 158.7 | 168.0 | Perine +9.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 |
Should I start Keaton Mitchell or Samaje Perine in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keaton Mitchell by 0.2 projected points (5.9 vs 5.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Keaton Mitchell or Samaje Perine in 2026 fantasy football?
Keaton Mitchell. He projects 101.4 fantasy points with -45.3 value over replacement, vs 88.3 points and -58.4 for Samaje Perine (RB, PPR).