KaVontae Turpin vs Roman Wilson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Roman Wilson by 0.8 projected points (5.1 vs 4.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Roman Wilson faces IND, the 7th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. KaVontae Turpin faces TB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks KaVontae Turpin ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 3.3 points of value over replacement (-94.0 vs -97.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| KaVontae TurpinDAL | Roman WilsonPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TB | IND | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 4.3 | 5.1 | Wilson +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #30 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 84.0 | 80.7 | Turpin +3.3 pts |
| Points per game | 4.9 | 4.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -94.0 | -97.3 | Turpin +3.3 |
| Overall rank | #188 | #200 | Turpin by 12 |
| Position rank | WR71 | WR74 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 14 | 9 |
Should I start KaVontae Turpin or Roman Wilson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Roman Wilson by 0.8 projected points (5.1 vs 4.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft KaVontae Turpin or Roman Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
KaVontae Turpin. He projects 84.0 fantasy points with -94.0 value over replacement, vs 80.7 points and -97.3 for Roman Wilson (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.