KaVontae Turpin vs Mack Hollins
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 0.2 projected points (5.0 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
KaVontae Turpin faces BAL, the 17th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Mack Hollins faces JAX, the 19th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 2.7 points of value over replacement (-92.0 vs -94.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| KaVontae TurpinDAL | Mack HollinsNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | BAL | JAX | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 5.0 | 4.8 | Turpin +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #17 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 85.2 | 82.4 | Turpin +2.7 pts |
| Points per game | 5.0 | 4.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -92.0 | -94.8 | Turpin +2.7 |
| Overall rank | #183 | #195 | Turpin by 12 |
| Position rank | WR72 | WR74 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 14 | 11 |
Should I start KaVontae Turpin or Mack Hollins in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 0.2 projected points (5.0 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft KaVontae Turpin or Mack Hollins in 2026 fantasy football?
KaVontae Turpin. He projects 85.2 fantasy points with -92.0 value over replacement, vs 82.4 points and -94.8 for Mack Hollins (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.