Michael Carter vs Kareem Hunt
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kareem Hunt by 0.4 projected points (2.9 vs 2.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kareem Hunt faces MIA, the 8th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Michael Carter faces NYG, the 31st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Michael Carter ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Michael Carter by 1.6 points of value over replacement (-88.1 vs -89.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Michael CarterTEN | Kareem HuntKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYG | MIA | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 2.5 | 2.9 | Hunt +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 48.5 | 46.9 | Carter +1.6 pts |
| Points per game | 2.9 | 2.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -88.1 | -89.7 | Carter +1.6 |
| Overall rank | #170 | #172 | Carter by 2 |
| Position rank | RB55 | RB56 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 5 |
Should I start Michael Carter or Kareem Hunt in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kareem Hunt by 0.4 projected points (2.9 vs 2.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Michael Carter or Kareem Hunt in 2026 fantasy football?
Michael Carter. He projects 48.5 fantasy points with -88.1 value over replacement, vs 46.9 points and -89.7 for Kareem Hunt (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.