Head to head · WR · 2026
Josh Downs vs Ricky Pearsall
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Josh Downs
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.7 points of value over replacement (-29.2 vs -29.9) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Josh Downs goes first at ADP 85.4 vs 102.2 for Ricky Pearsall.
| Josh Downs | Ricky Pearsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | IND | SFO |
| Overall rank | #112 | #114 |
| Position rank | WR43 | WR45 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 143.5 | 142.8 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -29.2 | -29.9 |
| Market ADP | 85.4 | 102.2 |
Should I draft Josh Downs or Ricky Pearsall in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Downs. He projects 143.5 fantasy points with -29.2 value over replacement, vs 142.8 points and -29.9 for Ricky Pearsall (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.