Jaydon Blue vs Ty Johnson
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.3 projected points (2.7 vs 2.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ty Johnson faces NE, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jaydon Blue faces HOU, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jaydon Blue ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaydon Blue by 1.0 points of value over replacement (-94.0 vs -95.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Jaydon BlueDAL | Ty JohnsonBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | HOU | NE | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.4 | 2.7 | Johnson +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #22 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 42.5 | 41.5 | Blue +1.0 pts |
| Points per game | 2.5 | 2.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -94.0 | -95.0 | Blue +1.0 |
| Overall rank | #183 | #188 | Blue by 5 |
| Position rank | RB66 | RB69 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 14 | 7 |
Should I start Jaydon Blue or Ty Johnson in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ty Johnson by 0.3 projected points (2.7 vs 2.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaydon Blue or Ty Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaydon Blue. He projects 42.5 fantasy points with -94.0 value over replacement, vs 41.5 points and -95.0 for Ty Johnson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.