Jaylen Wright vs Jaret Patterson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Wright by 0.0 projected points (2.3 vs 2.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jaylen Wright faces CIN, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jaret Patterson faces DEN, the 26th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Wright by 0.8 points of value over replacement (-94.8 vs -95.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Jaylen WrightMIA | Jaret PattersonLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | CIN | DEN | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 2.3 | 2.3 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #27 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 41.8 | 40.9 | Wright +0.8 pts |
| Points per game | 2.5 | 2.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -94.8 | -95.6 | Wright +0.8 |
| Overall rank | #185 | #189 | Wright by 4 |
| Position rank | RB70 | RB73 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 |
Should I start Jaylen Wright or Jaret Patterson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Wright by 0.0 projected points (2.3 vs 2.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaylen Wright or Jaret Patterson in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Wright. He projects 41.8 fantasy points with -94.8 value over replacement, vs 40.9 points and -95.6 for Jaret Patterson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.