Kaytron Allen vs James Conner
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Kaytron Allen by 2.2 points of value over replacement (-87.7 vs -89.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: James Conner carries an injury flag of Questionable (Foot), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Kaytron AllenWAS | James ConnerARI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 45.9 | 43.7 | Allen +2.2 pts |
| Points per game | 2.7 | 2.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -87.7 | -89.9 | Allen +2.2 |
| Overall rank | #184 | #190 | Allen by 6 |
| Position rank | RB61 | RB64 | |
| Market ADP | - | 167.8 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 14 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Kaytron Allen or James Conner in 2026 fantasy football?
Kaytron Allen. He projects 45.9 fantasy points with -87.7 value over replacement, vs 43.7 points and -89.9 for James Conner (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.