Jalen McMillan vs Ricky Pearsall
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen McMillan by 3.7 points of value over replacement (-73.6 vs -77.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Ricky Pearsall first (ADP 112.6 vs 151.4). If the model is right, Jalen McMillan is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jalen McMillan carries an injury flag of Questionable (Calf), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Ricky Pearsall carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - PCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jalen McMillanTAM | Ricky PearsallSFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 99.1 | 95.4 | McMillan +3.7 pts |
| Points per game | 5.8 | 5.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -73.6 | -77.3 | McMillan +3.7 |
| Overall rank | #168 | #172 | McMillan by 4 |
| Position rank | WR65 | WR68 | |
| Market ADP | 151.4 | 112.6 | McMillan +38.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | IR |
Should I draft Jalen McMillan or Ricky Pearsall in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen McMillan. He projects 99.1 fantasy points with -73.6 value over replacement, vs 95.4 points and -77.3 for Ricky Pearsall (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.