Garrett Wilson vs Jaylen Waddle
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Garrett Wilson by 0.1 projected points (11.2 vs 11.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Garrett Wilson faces MIA, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jaylen Waddle faces ARI, the 20th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Garrett Wilson: a clear but modest edge of 6.1 points of value over replacement (4.7 vs -1.4).
The draft market agrees: Garrett Wilson goes first at ADP 26.8 vs 44.1 for Jaylen Waddle.
Health note: Jaylen Waddle carries an injury flag of Questionable (Chest), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Garrett WilsonNYJ | Jaylen WaddleDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | MIA | ARI | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 11.2 | 11.0 | Wilson +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #22 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 197.0 | 190.9 | Wilson +6.1 pts |
| Points per game | 11.6 | 11.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 4.7 | -1.4 | Wilson +6.1 |
| Overall rank | #67 | #74 | Wilson by 7 |
| Position rank | WR22 | WR24 | |
| Market ADP | 26.8 | 44.1 | Waddle +17.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Jaylen Waddle in Week 7?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Garrett Wilson by 0.1 projected points (11.2 vs 11.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Garrett Wilson or Jaylen Waddle in 2026 fantasy football?
Garrett Wilson. He projects 197.0 fantasy points with 4.7 value over replacement, vs 190.9 points and -1.4 for Jaylen Waddle (WR, PPR).