Roman Wilson vs DeMario Douglas
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Roman Wilson by 0.2 projected points (6.0 vs 5.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Roman Wilson faces IND, the 7th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. DeMario Douglas faces LV, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Roman Wilson by 2.2 points of value over replacement (-83.0 vs -85.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Roman Wilson carries an injury flag of Out (Finger), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Roman WilsonPIT | DeMario DouglasNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | IND | LV | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 6.0 | 5.8 | Wilson +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #7 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 95.4 | 93.2 | Wilson +2.2 pts |
| Points per game | 5.6 | 5.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -83.0 | -85.2 | Wilson +2.2 |
| Overall rank | #160 | #162 | Wilson by 2 |
| Position rank | WR67 | WR68 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Roman Wilson or DeMario Douglas in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Roman Wilson by 0.2 projected points (6.0 vs 5.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Roman Wilson or DeMario Douglas in 2026 fantasy football?
Roman Wilson. He projects 95.4 fantasy points with -83.0 value over replacement, vs 93.2 points and -85.2 for DeMario Douglas (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.