Brenen Thompson vs KaVontae Turpin
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 0.5 projected points (5.3 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
KaVontae Turpin faces SF, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Brenen Thompson faces BAL, the 17th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Brenen Thompson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Brenen Thompson by 1.0 points of value over replacement (-96.0 vs -97.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Brenen Thompson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Quadriceps), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: KaVontae Turpin carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ribs), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Brenen ThompsonLAC | KaVontae TurpinDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | BAL | SF | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 4.8 | 5.3 | Turpin +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #17 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 81.1 | 80.1 | Thompson +1.0 pts |
| Points per game | 4.8 | 4.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -96.0 | -97.0 | Thompson +1.0 |
| Overall rank | #189 | #191 | Thompson by 2 |
| Position rank | WR71 | WR73 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 14 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Questionable |
Should I start Brenen Thompson or KaVontae Turpin in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans KaVontae Turpin by 0.5 projected points (5.3 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Brenen Thompson or KaVontae Turpin in 2026 fantasy football?
Brenen Thompson. He projects 81.1 fantasy points with -96.0 value over replacement, vs 80.1 points and -97.0 for KaVontae Turpin (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.