Bijan Robinson vs Christian McCaffrey
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB1
Bijan Robinson
348.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB3
Christian McCaffrey
295.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Bijan Robinson, and it isn't close: 53.2 points of value over replacement separate them (219.0 vs 165.8).
The draft market agrees: Bijan Robinson goes first at ADP 2.1 vs 6.6 for Christian McCaffrey.
Health note: Christian McCaffrey carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Bijan RobinsonATL | Christian McCaffreySFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 348.7 | 295.5 | Robinson +53.2 pts |
| Points per game | 20.5 | 17.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 219.0 | 165.8 | Robinson +53.2 |
| Overall rank | #1 | #3 | Robinson by 2 |
| Position rank | RB1 | RB3 | |
| Market ADP | 2.1 | 6.6 | McCaffrey +4.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 1 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey in 2026 fantasy football?
Bijan Robinson. He projects 348.7 fantasy points with 219.0 value over replacement, vs 295.5 points and 165.8 for Christian McCaffrey (RB, PPR).