Alvin Kamara vs J.K. Dobbins
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 0.6 projected points (10.2 vs 9.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Alvin Kamara faces NYG, the 17th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. J.K. Dobbins faces SEA, the 8th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Alvin Kamara: a clear but modest edge of 13.7 points of value over replacement (13.7 vs 0.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take J.K. Dobbins first (ADP 85.5 vs 148.7). If the model is right, Alvin Kamara is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Alvin Kamara carries an injury flag of Questionable (Back), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Alvin KamaraNOR | J.K. DobbinsDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NYG | SEA | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 10.2 | 9.7 | Kamara +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #17 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 171.4 | 157.7 | Kamara +13.7 pts |
| Points per game | 10.1 | 9.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 13.7 | 0.0 | Kamara +13.7 |
| Overall rank | #55 | #70 | Kamara by 15 |
| Position rank | RB27 | RB30 | |
| Market ADP | 148.7 | 85.5 | Kamara +63.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Alvin Kamara or J.K. Dobbins in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 0.6 projected points (10.2 vs 9.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Alvin Kamara or J.K. Dobbins in 2026 fantasy football?
Alvin Kamara. He projects 171.4 fantasy points with 13.7 value over replacement, vs 157.7 points and 0.0 for J.K. Dobbins (RB, PPR).