D.J. Moore vs Alec Pierce
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR28
D.J. Moore
168.2
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR31
Alec Pierce
167.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans D.J. Moore by 0.3 points of value over replacement (-4.6 vs -4.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: D.J. Moore goes first at ADP 52.9 vs 55.3 for Alec Pierce.
Health note: Alec Pierce carries an injury flag of PUP (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| D.J. MooreBUF | Alec PierceIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.2 | 167.9 | Moore +0.3 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.6 | -4.8 | Moore +0.3 |
| Overall rank | #78 | #81 | Moore by 3 |
| Position rank | WR28 | WR31 | |
| Market ADP | 52.9 | 55.3 | Pierce +2.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | PUP |
Should I draft D.J. Moore or Alec Pierce in 2026 fantasy football?
D.J. Moore. He projects 168.2 fantasy points with -4.6 value over replacement, vs 167.9 points and -4.8 for Alec Pierce (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.